CIGA PUBLICATIONS / GEOPOLITICAL COMPASS

Afghanistan War Enters New Stage as U.S. Military Prepares to Exit

West & Central Asia

Publication Dossier

GEOPOLITICAL COMPASS
Author(s)
Julian E. Barnes, Thomas Gibbons-Neff and Eric Schmitt
Publishers
The New York Times 
Date / Place
March 1, 2020/ U.S.
Type of Literature
Article
Word Count / Number of Pages
2,000  
Keywords
The Taliban and U.S. peace deal; Al Qaeda; C.I.A; Militia Networks; Afghanistan.

The Brief

This article considers the future prospects of the recent peace deal between the US and the Taliban, the author highlighting the possible outcomes of the peace deal through the lens of some military officers and US intelligence officials. This piece analyses the American, the Taliban, and the Afghanistan government’s future possible steps towards this deal. The authors quote stories from the Vietnam war and the Soviet presence in Afghanistan to emphasize the importance of an international community presence in the country. Concurrently, the role of the C.I.A and its overwhelming control over the American bases and militia network after the Trump administration in Afghanistan is taken into account. The de facto partnership between the US and the Taliban to fight against more extreme groups is discussed. For now, the US war of attrition against the Taliban has theoretically ended which means the withdrawal of US troops may not take place immediately and the planned 14 month timetable to withdraw around 12,000 American troops is not certain. The outcome of future Taliban and Afghanistan government peace talks and the residing Al Qaeda leaders in Pakistan are potential risks that can jeopardize the peace deal.